The backtest

What the method would have picked last month

We ran the five-a-day method over Oct 7 – Nov 5, 2026 one day at a time. Each day it saw only what existed that day: sales up to that day and fair values up to that day — nothing researched afterwards. These picks were made by that run, not published live; the live record is kept separately.

$1,419

$1,000 split across 133 backtest picks · +41.9% · as of Nov 10, 2026

$1,000 is now
$1,419
Average pick
+41.9%
Picks up
71%
Picks
133

The Prism Star boom

3 of 19 picked

In early October the Sun & Moon era's Prism Star cards tripled while the rest of their sets stayed flat. This is every Prism Star that moved in the window, and whether the method — seeing only each day's data — picked it, when, and how far it had already moved.

CardFair valueMoveThe method
Victini Prism Star

Dragon Majesty

$11.60 → $46.97+305%Picked Oct 8before it moved · +305% since
Jirachi Prism Star

SM - Celestial Storm

$16.67 → $57.92+248%Missed
Latias Prism Star

SM - Celestial Storm

$12.74 → $41.70+227%Picked Oct 10before it moved · +227% since
Volcanion Prism Star

SM - Forbidden Light

$3.95 → $12.29+211%Missed
Giratina Prism Star

SM - Ultra Prism

$35.58 → $95.59+169%Missed
Solgaleo Prism Star

SM - Ultra Prism

$6.71 → $17.49+161%Missed
Celebi Prism Star

SM - Lost Thunder

$15.59 → $38.17+145%Missed
Darkrai Prism Star

SM - Ultra Prism

$26.54 → $61.50+132%Missed
Latios Prism Star

SM - Celestial Storm

$20.10 → $41.28+105%Missed
Diancie Prism Star

SM - Forbidden Light

$8.57 → $16.59+93.6%Picked Oct 9before it moved · +93.6% since
Arceus Prism Star

SM - Forbidden Light

$20.25 → $38.67+91.0%Missed
Xerneas Prism Star

SM - Lost Thunder

$10.65 → $18.05+69.5%Missed
Ditto Prism Star

SM - Lost Thunder

$23.01 → $35.48+54.2%Missed
Shaymin Prism Star

SM - Team Up

$13.66 → $18.61+36.2%Missed
Tapu Koko Prism Star - 2019 (Haruki Miyamoto)

World Championship Decks

$5.05 → $6.60+30.7%Missed
Victini Prism Star - 2019 (Kaya Lichtleitner)

World Championship Decks

$16.68 → $19.78+18.6%Missed
Lunala Prism Star

SM - Ultra Prism

$11.27 → $13.27+17.7%Missed
Diancie Prism Star - 2018 (Naohito Inoue)

World Championship Decks

$21.18 → $23.15+9.3%Missed
Tapu Koko Prism Star

SM - Team Up

$8.92 → $8.25−7.5%Missed

The month's biggest movers

0 of 40 picked
CardFair valueMoveThe method
Niv-Mizzet, Parun (Retro Frame) (Serial Numbered)

Ravnica Remastered

$2.61 → $1,115+42604%Missed
Orcish Oriflamme

Fifth Edition

$0.27 → $32.36+11885%Missed
Fighting Drake

8th Edition

$0.05 → $5.24+10380%Missed
Faithful Mending Art Card

Art Series: Innistrad: Midnight Hunt

$0.10 → $8.86+8760%Missed
Bone Saw (Schematic) (Serial Numbered)

The Brothers' War: Retro Frame Artifacts

$1.75 → $124.70+7026%Missed
Time Machine

Awakened Pulse

$0.18 → $10.42+5689%Missed
Burn Away

Khans of Tarkir

$0.53 → $29.61+5487%Missed
Trunks : Future

Wish For Shenron

$0.20 → $9.99+4895%Missed
Grollub

Exodus

$0.18 → $6.88+3722%Missed
Thrashing Brontodon

Core Set 2021

$0.19 → $5.87+2990%Missed
Warm Welcome

Streets of New Capenna

$0.47 → $14.23+2928%Missed
Ultra Ball - 150/172 (North America Championships) [Staff]

League & Championship Cards

$0.49 → $10.95+2135%Missed
Nicanzil, Current Conductor Art Card

Art Series: The Lost Caverns of Ixalan

$0.25 → $5.40+2060%Missed
D - Time

Legendary Hero Decks

$0.41 → $8.29+1922%Missed
Attended Knight

Magic 2013 (M13)

$0.65 → $11.16+1617%Missed
Heart of Fyendal

Welcome to Rathe

$185.40 → $2,968+1501%Missed
Crystal Promise

Force of the Breaker

$0.92 → $14.72+1500%Missed
Spined Wurm

7th Edition

$0.36 → $5.72+1489%Missed
Divergent Transformations

Commander Masters

$1.29 → $17.74+1275%Missed
Partisan Hideout // Experience

A Lawless Time

$1.22 → $16.75+1273%Missed
Kinetic Soldier (TFK-EN002)

The Falsebound Kingdom

$18.07 → $247.62+1270%Missed
Island (140)

Archenemy

$0.43 → $5.82+1254%Missed
Forest (30)

Duel Decks: Elves vs. Goblins

$0.78 → $10.33+1224%Missed
Act of Treason

Magic 2010 (M10)

$0.50 → $6.48+1196%Missed
Amazoness Princess (PSR)

Speed Duel: Battle City Finals

$1.10 → $13.92+1166%Missed
Blizzard Thunderbird

Primal Origin

$0.49 → $6.16+1157%Missed
Snorunt

Plasma Blast

$0.77 → $9.62+1149%Missed
Tidepool Turtle

Dominaria United

$0.63 → $7.38+1071%Missed
Artificial Full Moon (Limited Pack 01)

Tournament and Championship Promos

$1.76 → $19.86+1028%Missed
Pyre Spawn

Innistrad: Crimson Vow

$0.82 → $8.57+945%Missed
Sanctimony

8th Edition

$0.50 → $5.10+920%Missed
Lobotomy (Red)

Compendium of Rathe

$1.18 → $11.68+890%Missed
Kavu Primarch

Dominaria Remastered

$0.70 → $6.73+861%Missed
Channel The Skybreaker (Yellow)

Compendium of Rathe

$0.61 → $5.66+828%Missed
Unruly Mob

Innistrad: Midnight Hunt

$0.74 → $6.51+780%Missed
Kamehameha

Starter Deck 1: Son Goku

$0.85 → $7.40+771%Missed
Reach Beyond The Grave

Compendium of Rathe

$1.51 → $12.75+744%Missed
Typhoon

Battle Pack 3: Monster League

$0.99 → $8.30+738%Missed
Flying Kick (Red)

Crucible of War

$1.18 → $9.88+737%Missed
Rune Snare (Red)

Compendium of Rathe

$0.94 → $7.67+716%Missed

Forecast

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Every backtest pick

133 picks over 30 days

Pokémon· Backtest Subscribers

A 2026 Pokémon card is back on the tables

It turned up in 1 deck at 🎉30TH LEGAL! | 🟢Jolly Good Weekly #7 | Top Cut!, and buyers followed. The price has slipped −30.9% over 30 days.

−4.0%Nov 1

Flesh and Blood· Backtest Subscribers

Classic Defense Rises in Flesh and Blood's First Set

A common card from Welcome to Rathe is suddenly at the center of a buying wave, with interest showing little sign of slowing—despite a year of falling prices and multiple reprints.

+0.9%Nov 1

Palworld Official Card Game· Backtest Subscribers

SR Cards From Palworld’s Debut Set Are Suddenly in Demand

Sales for one rare from Dawn of Palpagos climbed to 25 this month from just one the month before. It sits far below its past price, but similar cards have rebounded after market runs like this.

−18.2%Oct 31

One Piece Card Game· Backtest Subscribers

A Super Rare Alternate Art From 2024 Sets a New Pace

One Piece Card Game’s Memorial Collection is seeing unexpected demand for its SR alternate art, with buyers moving on this overlooked card faster than ever. Its price has dropped, but the market action says the trend may reverse.

−2.9%Oct 31

Pokémon· Backtest Subscribers

A 2026 Pokémon card is back on the tables

It turned up in 1 deck at 💥Plantel Battle #35 💥​100 CODES ✔️​ TOP 8, and buyers followed. The price has slipped −39.3% over 30 days.

−8.0%Oct 30

Pokémon· Backtest Subscribers

Special Illustration Rare From ME03 Finds Its Winning Moment

A Pokémon card from Perfect Order is back in top Standard decks and just saw a record month of sales. High-level play is sending buyers after this rare Supporter with a price still far below recent history.

−5.4%Oct 30

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest Subscribers

Mythic Dragon Leads Magic's Busiest Week for Midrange Staples

Commander Masters' most iconic dragon is back in competitive decks and saw a rush of buyers, even as prices dropped. The pattern that followed similar Magic: The Gathering cards offers a clear path.

+12.6%Oct 30

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest Subscribers

Magic’s Marvel Era Artifact Is Drawing Cross-Format Winners

A mythic from Marvel Super Heroes is selling at its fastest pace since launch, with winning lists in both cEDH and Modern showing why demand is surging. The price remains soft for now, but history says these moves rarely last.

−4.3%Oct 28

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

M10 Rare Instant Sees Unusual cEDH Buying Wave

A rare from Magic 2010 with a history of cEDH wins just had its busiest month, and the numbers point to more movement ahead despite a recent price dip.

+42.6%Oct 27
Twincast

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Standard’s Winning Marvel Mythic Draws a Rush of Buyers

A recent streak of Standard Challenge wins has put attention on this Marvel Super Heroes mythic rare, with sales spiking even as its price has slipped. Its moment may not last, but history favors a bounce when demand jumps this high.

−4.0%Oct 27
Thor, God of Thunder (Borderless) (0369)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Old-School Artifact Uncommon Draws New cEDH Demand

A staple from Magic's Revised Edition is seeing the most action in months as competitive Commander decks make it a must-have again. Busiest week in years may shift its price as history suggests.

+8.1%Oct 26
Sol Ring

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Artifact From Mind vs. Might Set Sparks Market Attention

Nearly four dozen copies of a chase rare from Magic: The Gathering's Mind vs. Might have changed hands this month, outpacing its usual sales by a wide margin as buyers capitalize on a steep dip.

+45.9%Oct 26
Coat of Arms

Digimon Card Game· Backtest

Promo Buying Surpasses Past Peaks in Digimon

A recent rush for a 2024 Digimon Update Pack promo has drawn more buyers in one week than in the prior three, as sales dwarf its usual pace despite a falling price.

−11.5%Oct 25
Falcomon (Update Pack 2024)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Three Formats See This Artifact Return to Winning Decks

A recent Modern and Legacy streak has brought renewed attention to a reprinted rare with a long tournament history. Buyers are already moving at a pace not seen since its last reprint.

−13.8%Oct 25
Engineered Explosives (Future Sight)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

One Planeshift Uncommon Suddenly Draws Eyes Across Magic

This instant from Magic: The Gathering's Planeshift set has sold more copies in a week than it used to in a month, even as prices fell steeply. The question is what happens when the buyers slow down.

+2.5%Oct 24
Surprise Deployment

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Heavy Magic Buying Lifts a 2002 Rare to New Highs

A rare from Magic: The Gathering’s Onslaught set just witnessed its busiest week in years, with a triple-digit sales pace that stands out even among older set staples.

+21.8%Oct 24
Head Games

Digimon Card Game· Backtest

A Timeless Bonds Super Rare Draws Unusual October Activity

The Digimon Card Game's latest set just saw one of its chase alternate arts move at nearly four times its usual pace. Here's why this Super Rare from Timeless Bonds may not stay at current levels.

+57.4%Oct 24
Ravemon (Alternate Art)

Pokémon· Backtest

The Busiest Week Ever for a Lost Origin Secret Rare

A modern Pokémon Secret Rare from Lost Origin just recorded more weekly sales than at any point in its history, even as its price dipped to a yearly low. Demand is outpacing the drop.

+4.8%Oct 22
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)

Digimon Card Game· Backtest

Heavy Standard Play Puts a 2026 Digimon Super Rare in Demand

Four first-place finishes at local Digimon Card Game events have made this recent super rare a must-watch. Despite a sharp fall in price, the market is showing renewed life after an unusually busy week of sales.

+9.8%Oct 22
Atratusmon // Eclipse Impact (Welcome Tamers Pack Vol.2)

Pokémon· Backtest

Record Buyer Activity Hits a 2019 Pokémon Common

The SM – Cosmic Eclipse era just delivered a week unlike any in years for a common card. More copies traded hands in one day than most months, as the market finds its floor.

+36.5%Oct 22
Psyduck

Pokémon· Backtest

A Deck-Exclusive Holo Rare Pulls Record Pokémon Buyers

A distinctive Dragon-type from the Deck Exclusives set just posted its busiest week ever, moving 28 copies in 7 days as collectors and players rushed in. Its price is moving, but the pace of buying is the story.

+98.3%Oct 21
Dragonite - 151/236 (Cracked Ice Holo)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Surprising Demand Rush for a Timeshifted Magic Rare

Collectors and Commander fans are giving new life to a 2006 special rarity, with a wave of buying that outpaces its own history. Strong market action has not yet lifted the price.

+92.1%Oct 21
Avatar of Woe

Flesh and Blood· Backtest

A Majestic Uprising Card Draws Its Largest Crowd All Year

Flesh and Blood's Uprising set sees a Majestic rarity card jump from one buyer a month to dozens almost overnight, outpacing its usual traffic and nearing the median increase historically seen after this kind of demand.

+4.8%Oct 20
Erase Face

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Unusual Buying Rush Hits a 2003 Magic Rare Artifact

A Mirrodin-era rare in Magic: The Gathering finds itself the subject of an eightfold surge in sales, even as its price holds steady. The mechanics and history of this card could be behind the sudden interest.

+8.7%Oct 20
Timesifter

Pokémon· Backtest

A 2010 Holo Rare Sees Its Busiest Week in Years

Collectors are eyeing this HeartGold & SoulSilver-era foil after its sales jumped more than threefold, marking the strongest buying in months for any holo from its set.

+23.6%Oct 19
Venomoth

Flesh and Blood· Backtest

Majestic From Arcane Rising Sees Its Busiest Week in Years

Demand for a high-profile Flesh and Blood card from 2020 is surging this October, with copies selling faster than ever despite a recent price dip. Here's what the buying means for this Majestic and why it could reverse course.

+39.3%Oct 19
High Octane

Flesh and Blood· Backtest

Majestic Hunted Card Sees Elevenfold Jump in Buyer Activity

Flesh and Blood’s 2025 set quietly harbored a single that just sold 75 times in a week—more than it moved in the prior three weeks combined. Its price has barely budged, but its demand says more.

+196%Oct 17
Kiss of Death

Flesh and Blood· Backtest

Historic Buying Wave Hits 2020 Flesh and Blood Majestic

A standout Majestic from Crucible of War just posted its busiest sales week ever. This card’s price is holding steady for now, but past surges like this have rarely been quiet for long.

+43.7%Oct 17
Poison the Tips

Pokémon· Backtest

Promo-Era Water Types See a Collector Buying Spree

A 2019 promo card from the Sword & Shield era just posted its busiest sales week ever, even as prices slipped. The trend matches previous demand-driven climbs for Pokémon Black Star Promos.

+2.3%Oct 17
Glaceon - SWSH192

Pokémon· Backtest

Promo-Era Pokémon Promo Draws Record Weekly Buying

A Pokémon promo from the Mega Evolution Promo set has flipped from slow market action to an intense wave of demand, with buyers snapping up copies at a pace the set rarely sees.

+138%Oct 17
Serperior - 064 [Staff]

Flesh and Blood· Backtest

October Buying Frenzy Lifts a Crucible Majestic

A Majestic rarity from Flesh and Blood’s Crucible of War just saw over a hundred copies sell in a single week—more than twenty times its normal pace. Recent market action hints at a familiar pattern for cards like this.

+326%Oct 16
Remorseless

Pokémon· Backtest

Heavy Buying Hits a 2010 Pokémon Holo Rare

A sudden burst of activity has drawn eyes to this Triumphant set card. Its price has slipped even as sales reached levels rarely seen for this era.

+121%Oct 16
Aggron

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Uncommon 1993 Vampire Sees a New Wave of Magic Buyers

Original Unlimited Edition cards don't move like this often. One classic uncommon just logged the kind of buying surge that has signaled strong returns for Magic: The Gathering collectors before.

−0.4%Oct 16
Sengir Vampire

Gundam Card Game· Backtest

Demand Roars for a Phantom Aria R+ Rare in Gundam

An R+ from this spring’s set floods the market with sales while its price sinks far below its early fall level. The numbers suggest a reversal is due, based on similar moves before.

+123%Oct 15
Rey Za Burrel (R+)

Pokémon· Backtest

A Modern Ultra Rare Pokémon Begins Moving Again

Heavy buying hit a 2022 ultra rare from a World Championship deck, with sales up sharply as its price fell. The card's market history suggests these runs often reverse hard.

+29.8%Oct 15
No image

Gundam Card Game· Backtest

Steel Requiem's LR+ Legend Draws a New Wave of Buyers

Legend Rare Plus cards from the Gundam Card Game's Steel Requiem set are seeing sharp volume spikes, and one of its most iconic mechs just caught its busiest week yet. Market history points to a rebound from here.

+6.0%Oct 14
Altron Gundam (LR+)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Beta Lands Draw Legacy Magic Collectors Into the Market

A surge in trading for this earliest Magic: The Gathering land suggests a shift in demand for vintage basics. Collectors are moving on older editions with renewed intensity, outpacing price movement so far.

+7.6%Oct 12
Swamp (A)

Pokémon· Backtest

Ultra Rare from XY Flashfire Finds Its Fans Again

A dramatic pickup in buying for one of the set’s most recognizable cards brings it back into market focus, right as its price drifts lower. History says this pattern rarely lasts.

−1.1%Oct 12
Charizard EX (12)

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Kamigawa Rare Draws a Crowd With Huge Week of Trading

With more copies sold this week than all month, this 2004 Magic: The Gathering rare just posted its busiest day ever. Its price stands still for now, but history suggests moves like this don’t last.

+72.1%Oct 10Closed
Long-Forgotten Gohei

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Torment Rare Sees Play, Sells Out in a Week

A green spell from Magic: The Gathering’s Torment set just moved 26 copies in 7 days, sparked by a cEDH finish and years of dormancy. History shows moves like this can reach double-digit gains.

+23.3%Oct 9Closed
Insist

Pokémon· Backtest

Promo Era Powerhouse Sees Unexpected Wave of Buying

Collectors have zeroed in on a popular XY promo, with sales multiplying even as its price has dropped by over a third this month. A look at the sudden demand and what history says happens next.

+15.6%Oct 9Closed
Lucario - XY140

Magic: The Gathering· Backtest

Modern Decks Find New Power in Origins Mythic

A Magic: The Gathering staple from 2015 is driving conversation in Modern after a string of tournament-topping finishes. Players are snapping up copies at a pace not seen before this year.

+8.4%Oct 9Closed
Day's Undoing

Pokémon· Backtest

Southern Islands Promos See Unusual Buying Frenzy

Classic Pokémon promos from a 2001 set are selling fast, with several cards moving at four times their usual pace and values quietly ticking up. Here's why the rush is likely not over yet.

+13.1%Oct 7Closed
Onix

Signals used: sales pace and sealed prices, recomputed for each day. Weights are the starting priors, and expected moves come only from catalysts that took effect before the window. No curated research, upcoming calendar or later outcome was an input. The movers lists are measured afterwards, to grade the run. The live record starts on Oct 29, 2026.

Forecast is research, not financial advice. Card prices can fall as easily as they rise; past picks do not promise future returns. Every price is Tradewind's fair value from real sales, never a listing.